Since my last buy rating on AGNC Investment Corp. stock, a few new developments have turned its risk/return curve unfavorable. The top development is that the yield curve has become inverted in the ...

I still remember back in 2006, when the curve inverted ahead of the financial crisis. Hardly anyone outside of bankers, economists, hardcore investors and bond traders knew what it meant. But by 2008, ...

AGNC Investment sees profitability gains from a steepened yield curve and lower funding costs, with high dividend yield.

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted, meaning short-term interest rates on treasury bonds were unusually higher than long term rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has come. A key ...

Shorter-term US Treasury yields have fallen, while yields on longer-dated bonds could remain elevated, thanks to the threat of higher inflation and investor concerns surrounding the federal deficit.

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

For 2025, bond investors might want to make themselves comfortable with where yields have been in 2024. The US economy is expected to post steady growth, without overheating or sliding into recession.

The market has been volatile in recent weeks, and investor optimism has been plunging. A couple of key metrics suggest that a recession could be on the horizon. However, market indicators don't always ...