This post is part of the Health Affairs Forefront short series, “Value Assessment: Where Do We Go Post-COVID?” The series explores what we have learned about value assessment and related issues during ...

One of the most difficult times to make ethical decisions is when there is great uncertainty about what the best decision is, or how to go about achieving that best end. Here I will present six ...

Unlock the full InfoQ experience by logging in! Stay updated with your favorite authors and topics, engage with content, and download exclusive resources. This article dives into the happens-before ...

We make decisions every day, many of which are so straightforward that we hardly notice we are making them. But we tend to struggle when faced with decisions that have uncertain outcomes, such as ...

Business schools and other professional programs teach powerful analytical methods for using information to make decisions. These methods are important and need to be learned. But what happens when ...

Seems like everything these days is COVID-19. Recently the editor of the Journal of Business Forecasting asked me to write an article on demand planning under uncertainty.* Initially it sounded ...

Everyone talks about making business decisions based on numbers, data, and facts, including me. But what do you do when there aren’t hard facts and you have to make the best decision based on unclear ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Bryce Hoffman writes about leadership, strategy, and decision making. Dr. Gary Klein is a cognitive psychologist and one of the ...

Professionals don’t experience uncertainty in decision making — as an amateur, I “knew” this. Before I worked in a medical center, I thought medicine was an exact science: Doctors were trained to ...

Researchers have discovered that being initially uncertain when faced with making critical mission-related decisions based on various forms of information may lead to better overall results in the end ...