Grayscale plans to sell $3 billion in Bitcoin to meet cash obligations. Bitcoin above $56K on June 30, 2026 at 94.7% YES.

New Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's hawkish stance on rates and balance sheet reduction is undermining emerging-market bond ...

Israel and Lebanon declare intent to end their 78-year state of war. Permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026 at 9.5% YES.

Iran proposed a regional security framework after attacks on Bahrain and Kuwait. Diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026 at 65.5% ...

Trump threatens to annihilate Iran amid military tensions. Final nuclear deal by August 18, 2026 at 20.5% YES; Strait of ...

Hezbollah kills an IDF officer in southern Lebanon, raising tensions. Israel to strike 4 countries in November 2025 at 53.2% ...

This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of ...

Lebanon and Israel signed a peace agreement, ending their state of war. Permanent peace deal with Hezbollah by June 30, 2026 ...

Japan's government urges 'appropriate' monetary policy from the BOJ after rates hit 1%, the highest since 1995. Here's what ...

Iraq urges Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz as Iran proposes a $1-per-barrel transit toll payable in Bitcoin or ...

Iran imposes strict navigation routes for foreign vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. UK sending warships by June 30, 2026 at ...

Ben-Gurion's Terminal One reopens to domestic flights amid ongoing conflict. Israel closes its airspace by June 30 at 1.5% ...