ChatGPT has assigned a 25% probability that the United States will enter a recession within the next six months.

Options markets are painting an unusually calm picture of the economy, with recession risk appearing almost nonexistent according to recent data. Analysis from SocGen Cross Asset Research using ...

Recession probability indicators are flashing caution. The yield curve has spent extended periods inverted, the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index has posted consecutive monthly declines, and ...

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See more of our trusted coverage when you search. Prefer Newsweek on Google to see more of our trusted coverage when you search. The number of companies mentioning the term "recession" when discussing ...

Goldman Sachs thinks the odds of a recession have come down. The Iran war remains unresolved, but the reality is that oil hasn't gone as high as some forecasters predicted, while the US economy ...

Shortly after President Donald Trump unveiled his tariff and trade policy following the close of trading on April 2, the broad-based S&P 500 (^GSPC +0.17%), growth-dependent Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC +0 ...

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There isn't any data point or forecasting tool on the planet that can guarantee what's going to happen next with the U.S. economy and/or Wall Street. But there are select metrics, forecasting tools, ...