To a certain brand of policy wonk, January 31, 2025, is a day that will live in infamy. It had been nearly two weeks since President Donald Trump took office for the second time—days that passed in a swirl of executive orders to cut federal spending ...

White House admits key economic data may never be released and blames the shutdown - Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt warns October CPI and jobs reports might not be published

Similar to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis’ published indices, the Numerator CPI tracks price changes over time and captures how consumer buying behavior evolves alongside them. The data cover approximately 20% of the consumption basket captured in the U.

September’s employment report is expected to be the first major release after the shutdown, as that data was already collected before it began. The release of other key metrics on inflation and spending is expected to take longer, possibly one or two weeks, according to Morgan Stanley economists.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics usually collects data in real time. So it may not be able to capture October prices or jobs data that was missed during the shutdown.

After a 43-day shutdown, federal agencies like the BLS and BEA may be scrambling to release long-delayed economic data. Experts warn that crucial reports on jobs and inflation could take weeks to appear—or might never be published at all.

The first public release of this data will be available on Thursday, November 13 at 8:30 a.m. ET at numerator.com/ inflation.